Forecasters Warning of Pop Up Severe Storms This Afternoon

Although the threat of a widespread breakout of severe storms in East Texas is not as strong as it was yesterday, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has just released a discussion and guidance on the possibility of a few pop-up severe storms in our area as we get deeper into the afternoon.

Forecasters are warning that between 4 pm - 6 pm (if not sooner), we should start seeing a few storms developing between Bryan/College Station to the Lufkin/Nacogdoches area and southward to just north of Houston.  Because of the favorable instability of the atmosphere, some of these storms could get to severe limits.  Meteorologists are warning that a strong supercell or two could develop.  These isolated storms could produce large, damaging hail, strong wind gusts, and perhaps some potential for a tornado.  Given the saturated nature of the ground, even a short duration downpour could cause brief, localized flooding.

Even though the potential for a severe storm or two is possible late this afternoon, forecasters at the Storm Prediction Center do not anticipate that a severe thunderstorm watch will be issued.  This is due to the somewhat uncertain and isolated nature of the event.  At this time, meteorologist are putting that chances of issuing a watch at 20%, however, that may change given the fast-developing nature of the climate.

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