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Uncertainty of Isaac Makes for Gulf Coast Danger

isaac
national hurricane center

Late Tuesday or early Wednesday Isaac is expected to make landfall as a hurricane with winds up to 100mph. That’s dangerous enough, but there’s another major fear when it comes to this particular storm.

Uncertainty.

Even though we’re a little over a day away from landfall, forecasters are still saying that what will be Hurricane Isaac could strike anywhere from Beaumont to Alabama. That’s over 500 miles of uncertainty, and even though the latest prediction cone from the National Hurricane Center shows the area around New Orleans as the most probable landfall point, the meteorologists at the NHC are quick to cast doubt on the certainty of that prediction. Currently, Isaac is a tropical storm with top sustained winds at 65mph.

isaac 082712 10am nhc
national hurricane center

The major danger in all this is that when Isaac finally makes his mind up as to where he will definitely go, those in his path will have a very short time to evacuate.

As for East Texas, depending on which of the models below that Isaac follows, we could get no rain with a little breeziness on Wednesday or we could get periods of heavy rain with gusts near 50mph.

Isaac 082712 10am sfwmd
sfwmd.gov

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