Strong Tornadoes Could Rip Across East Texas Late Monday Night

It's been a while since the 'T word' has been mentioned in East Texas, but it looks like we will need to be on the lookout for tornadoes over the next 36-48 hours. Severe weather is expected over parts of Texas Sunday through late Monday. Hail, damaging straight-line winds, and tornadoes are all in the mix.

A vigorous system associated with a strong cold front will push into northeast and east Texas on Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly severe, are expected Sunday and Monday, but the worst of the weather should move across northeast Texas on Monday afternoon and evening, while Deep East Texas is expected to get severe storms around midnight or later.

Biggest Severe Weather Threats for East Texas...Sunday

Sunday, scattered thunderstorms will develop south of the Pineywoods and move northward into east and northeast Texas. A few of these storms could be severe, however, the highest probability of severe storms will be in a large area from Abilene through central Oklahoma.

Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible, especially in the area shaded in yellow.

Monday's Dangerous Outlook

The strong cold front should advance through east Texas on Monday. A solid line of storms is expected to develop along its leading edge. Tornadoes and/or strong damaging winds may be associated with some of the storms within that squall line.

The hatched yellow area below indicates that EF2 or stronger tornadoes (111+ mph) are possible there.

Unfortunately, almost every computer model agrees that the line of strong to severe storms will move through Deep East Texas around midnight or later Monday night.

The Storm Prediction Center issued this map showing an enhanced chance for severe storms from near Sulphur Springs through portions of western Arkansas and eastern Oklahoma. Dallas to Waco to Tyler are all included in the yellow (slight) area. Much of Deep East Texas is included in the dark green (marginal) area.

Rainfall Forecast

Flash Flood Warnings have already been issued Sunday morning for areas north of Dallas/Fort Worth. Much of southern Oklahoma and north-central to northeast Texas could experience numerous downpours through Tuesday morning leading to flash flooding.

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